In the final sprint to Election Day, dollars and eyeballs are flocking to prediction markets that offer ever-changing odds of Trump or Harris winning the race.
While many of the questions seemed more like vituperative venting about the presidential candidates, others were constructive and interesting. They ranged from questions about the Electoral College to specific inquiries about why ballots in some counties look the way they do.
A question mark for Trump is whether the Black supporters who show up in polls will show up in the actual vote. Adam Carlson, a former Democratic pollster who has compiled data from multiple surveys, notes that polls in 2020 significantly overestimated Trump’s support among Black voters. That may be true again this year.
Arizona’s Maricopa County is an epicenter of threats against election officials. ‘It feels very dystopian,’ said the county’s top official for voting by mail.
Donald Trump will face Vice President Kamala Harris in the 2024 election after Joe Biden dropped out of the race in July.
On election night, the Associated Press calls winners in thousands of races. To stay ahead of misinformation, the news service has added transparency to its process.
In Michigan, Harris visited Grand Rapids, Lansing and Oakland County for three campaign stops. Trump appeared in Oakland County for a roundtable event, and then ended the evening with a rally in Detroit that included an 18-minute delay due to a microphone malfunction.
FREELAND, MI – U.S. Speaker of the House Mike Johnson believes Michigan is “ground zero” in the battle for the presidency. “Michigan matters more than most, you know that,” Johnson said. “How Michigan goes, so goes the country.”
Four accounts on crypto-based prediction market Polymarket that placed large bets on former President Donald Trump winning the 2024 election, and have been the subject of much online speculation, are owned by non-Americans or a non-American,
In the United States, the president is not elected by the popular vote but in a system known as the electoral college.